Trump up 32-23 already in New Hampshire

[LeBronMonsterDunk]

[Incognito]

Raped.

[sportswise1]

Donald Trump Tantrums Over Hispanics Voting Legally in Nevada
The Daily Beast Sun, Nov 6 2:49 PM PST
For months Donald Trump has been saying he wants a wall built by Hispanics, and on the last day of early voting in Nevada he certainly got one. Thanks to an unprecedented Democratic Party push in the Latino community headed in part by fired-up Culinary Union Local 226, a line of last-minute early voters was so long that one polling place at a Cardenas Market had to be kept open until just after 10 p.m.—three hours later than usual. Voters were packed tighter than the watermelons in the store’s produce department. Yvanna Cancela, political director of Local 226, excitedly tweeted, “Looks like Trump got his wall after all. A wall of beautiful voters.” The time extension was legal, and the polling ...


and incocknito thinks NH is key state for Trump?
makes him as dumb as Trump and a stump

[FPL]

New Hampshire only matters if he wins Nevada, which he very well could (high white working class population), but half the people there have voted already.

I think he can win both, but MI is the best path to me. Especially given the Detroit info we have (absentees down there but up in the rest of the state, and likely going to be a lot of rain tomorrow).

[somberbostonian]

New Hampshire only matters if he wins Nevada, which he very well could (high white working class population), but half the people there have voted already.

I think he can win both, but MI is the best path to me. Especially given the Detroit info we have (absentees down there but up in the rest of the state, and likely going to be a lot of rain tomorrow).

Any realistic path to 270 for Trump if he loses Florida? If he loses that state, even the best-case scenario in all the other toss-up states (OH, NC, IA, NV, even MI and NH) won't be enough to put him over.

[FPL]

New Hampshire only matters if he wins Nevada, which he very well could (high white working class population), but half the people there have voted already.

I think he can win both, but MI is the best path to me. Especially given the Detroit info we have (absentees down there but up in the rest of the state, and likely going to be a lot of rain tomorrow).

Any realistic path to 270 for Trump if he loses Florida? If he loses that state, even the best-case scenario in all the other toss-up states (OH, NC, IA, NV, even MI and NH) won't be enough to put him over.

In theory probably not. If Trump loses Florida, he's going to lose the popular vote by 2.5+ points most likely. Hispanics in Florida (Cubans and Puerto Ricans) aren't monolithic, like Mexicans in AZ/CO/NV/NM (plus CA/TX, though neither will flip) area are. Ohio has moved away from being one because of Trump's unique appeal, but Florida is still very much a bellwether. I don't think he can win PA/MI without FL.

Also at this point, OH/IA aren't really tossups IMO, unless we're saying states like VA/ME (statewide, not ME-02) are too. Both are clear wins, unless there's a calamity tomorrow.

[paskeezy3000]

Great news.