Trump getting taken out behind the woodshed right now

[Bush4Ever.]

According to the Silver Bulletin (the model in the tweets being passed around):

Last update: 3 p.m., Thursday, September 12. The first post-debate polls are in, and they helped Kamala Harris very slightly in our forecast –- but we’d caution against reading too much into any of this data just yet. It takes several days to conduct a traditional poll, and thus so far we’ve only heard from online or IVR firms. And many the polls to enter the database so far have fairly strong house effects. Harris got a good number (+5 nationally) in an Ipsos poll, but that’s generally been one of her stronger polls this cycle. And Trump led by 2 points nationally in a Rasmussen Reports survey, but Rasmussen has a very strong GOP lean. The model accounts for all of this in calculating its averages and forecasts.

[thedangerouskitchen]

Trump got 75-million votes in 2020 (legit votes that is, without speculating on how many more he would have received if the Election was on the up-and-up)... and in 2024 his support among Blacks, Hispanics (primarily) and Independents to a smaller degree has skyrocketed vs. where it was in 2020. Tamale, on the other hand, has not gained support in any segment of the population.

Also, Republican Voter Registration has skyrocketed as well vs. 2020, while DemonRat registration has remain virtually unchanged.

In other words millions MORE Republicans (who didn't vote in 2020) will be voting in November. Couple that with the aforementioned YUUUGE increase in support from Blacks and Hispanics and Tamale is literally going to need upwards of 90-million votes to beat Trump.

...and that's just not going to happen.